Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 15:00 • Municipal das Laranjeiras
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.24) 0.27 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 42.2% 11.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.5%
1 - 0
27.5%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 34.5% 9.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParedesAmarante
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack75%83%
Defense92%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paredes Amarante
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%25%31%50%50%50%
Draws63%38%50%25%13%19%
Loses0%38%19%25%38%31%

Form: Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWLDDWWW • Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Paredes Amarante
HATHAT
GF total9112011718
GF avg1.11.41.31.40.91.1
GA total29119716
GA avg0.31.10.71.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParedesAmarante
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%63%56%
1.544%19%31%38%
2.519%0%19%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParedesAmarante
HATHAT
Clean sheets628347
Failed to score336246

Penalties

MetricParedesAmarante
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricParedesAmarante
Wins12
Draws51
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-20-2
Biggest losses—2-11-23-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricParedesAmarante
Form42%58%
Att47%53%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%88%
Total44.7%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Paredes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paredes = 0.80 (league 1.24), Amarante = 0.27 (league 1.02)

Amarante
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paredes 0 34.5% 9.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 11.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1