Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 17:00 • Estádio do Restelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.25) 0.74 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 39.8% 35.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
SC Covilha
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Os Belenenses 0 27.3% 20.2% 7.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack42%25%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Os Belenenses SC Covilha
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%0%33%17%
Draws0%33%17%67%33%50%
Loses33%33%33%33%33%33%

Form: CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWL • SC Covilha: LLDDDW

League goals

Metric CF Os Belenenses SC Covilha
HATHAT
GF total246134
GF avg0.71.31.00.31.00.7
GA total257235
GA avg0.71.71.20.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%67%67%
1.517%33%0%17%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricCF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
Wins20
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-2—0-1
Biggest losses0-24-10-12-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricCF Os BelenensesSC Covilha
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : CF Os Belenenses or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.26 @ Pinnacle
Away7.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CF Os Belenenses = 0.56 (league 1.25), SC Covilha = 0.74 (league 0.95)

SC Covilha
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Os Belenenses 0 27.3% 20.2% 7.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 39.8% · Away win 35.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1