Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 10:00 • Campo Estrela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.25) 0.53 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.6% 11.5% 4.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 7.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Academica
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack67%58%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 Academica
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%0%33%75%0%50%
Draws0%33%17%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%25%100%50%

Form: Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDW • Academica: LWLWWL

League goals

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 Academica
HATHAT
GF total718718
GF avg2.30.31.31.80.51.3
GA total336235
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitano Évora 1911Academica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%67%
1.533%0%33%17%
2.533%0%17%0%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Academica
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Academica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Academica
Wins12
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-14-1
Biggest losses0-11-00-12-1
Goals For4141
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Academica
Form44%56%
Att53%47%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.3%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitano Évora 1911 = 2.76 (league 1.25), Academica = 0.53 (league 0.95)

Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 7.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1