Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 19:00 • Campo Chã das Padeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.28) 0.26 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 42.9% 11.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.5%
1 - 0
27.7%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 35.5% 9.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémCaldas
Played44
Form33%58%
Attack15%38%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.55 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém Caldas
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws50%0%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%100%50%0%50%25%

Form: União Santarém: WLDL • Caldas: WWLD

League goals

Metric União Santarém Caldas
HATHAT
GF total202415
GF avg1.00.00.52.00.51.3
GA total145325
GA avg0.52.01.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémCaldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%75%
1.50%25%50%50%
2.50%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémCaldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémCaldas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémCaldas
Wins12
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-10-1
Biggest losses3-02-0
Goals For1021
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémCaldas
Form36%64%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : União Santarém or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.78 (league 1.28), Caldas = 0.26 (league 0.98)

Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 35.5% 9.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 42.9% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1