Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.25) 0.79 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.1% 10.5% 5.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 0
9.5%
4 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.1% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasMafra
Played54
Form67%42%
Attack46%23%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas Mafra
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins50%67%60%50%0%25%
Draws50%0%20%50%50%50%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%25%

Form: Caldas: WWLDW • Mafra: DLWD

League goals

Metric Caldas Mafra
HATHAT
GF total426213
GF avg2.00.71.21.00.50.8
GA total325145
GA avg1.50.71.00.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasMafra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%75%50%
1.540%40%0%25%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasMafra
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCaldasMafra
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCaldasMafra
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-0—
Biggest losses—2-0—4-1
Goals For2111
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricCaldasMafra
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Winner : Caldas

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caldas = 3.20 (league 1.25), Mafra = 0.79 (league 0.95)

Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.1% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.1% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 5.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1