Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 •
Estádio EFAPEL
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.28)
0.25 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 37.0% | 9.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.3%
1 - 0
28.5%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Academica | 0 | 29.3% | 7.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.5% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Attack | 46% | 23% |
| Defense | 69% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Academica: LWLW • Atlético CP: LLWW
League goals
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Academica | Atlético CP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Academica | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Academica or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Academica = 0.98 (league 1.28), Atlético CP = 0.25 (league 0.98)
| Atlético CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Academica | 0 | 29.3% | 7.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.5% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 37.0% · Away win 9.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1