
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.28)
0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
home | draw | away |
---|---|---|
21.2% | 49.1% | 29.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.6%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
SC Covilha | 0 | 40.6% | 20.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
1 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
2 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 |
---|---|---|
Played | 4 | 4 |
Form | 17% | 25% |
Attack | 15% | 31% |
Defense | 69% | 69% |
Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
36%
FT probability
2.5+
25%
FT probability
3.5+
18%
FT probability
BTTS
45%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: SC Covilha: LLDD • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLL
League goals
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
Line | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
For | Against | For | Against | |
0.5 | 50% | 75% | 25% | 100% |
1.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 |
---|---|---|
Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 |
---|---|---|
Wins | 0 | 1 |
Draws | 0 | 0 |
Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
Metric | H | A | H | A |
---|---|---|---|---|
Biggest wins | — | — | 4-1 | — |
Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
Goals For | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
Metric | SC Covilha | Lusitano Évora 1911 |
---|---|---|
Form | 40% | 60% |
Att | 33% | 67% |
Def | 50% | 50% |
Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
H2h | 50% | 50% |
Goals | 0% | 0% |
Total | 43.3% | 56.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lusitano Évora 1911 and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.39 (league 1.28), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.51 (league 0.98)
Lusitano Évora 1911 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
SC Covilha | 0 | 40.6% | 20.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
1 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
2 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 49.1% · Away win 29.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1