Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.28) 0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 49.1% 29.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.6%
0 - 1
20.8%
1 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 40.6% 20.8% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Played44
Form17%25%
Attack15%31%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.54 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%0%25%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%50%100%75%

Form: SC Covilha: LLDD • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLL

League goals

Metric SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total022404
GF avg0.01.00.52.00.01.0
GA total134224
GA avg0.51.51.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%25%100%
1.50%25%25%0%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Wins01
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1
Biggest losses0-12-10-11-0
Goals For0140
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricSC CovilhaLusitano Évora 1911
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lusitano Évora 1911 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.39 (league 1.28), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.51 (league 0.98)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 40.6% 20.8% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 49.1% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1