Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Campo Estrela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.24) 0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 35.5% 19.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 22.5% 11.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Amora
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack63%50%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 Amora
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%50%40%
Draws0%33%20%0%50%20%
Loses50%67%60%67%0%40%

Form: Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLD • Amora: WLDWL

League goals

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 Amora
HATHAT
GF total415314
GF avg2.00.31.01.00.50.8
GA total235303
GA avg1.01.01.01.00.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitano Évora 1911Amora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%100%40%40%
1.520%0%20%20%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Amora
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Amora
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Amora
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-00-1
Biggest losses0-11-00-2
Goals For4131
Goals Against1120

Model comparison

MetricLusitano Évora 1911Amora
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total51.4%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Amora and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.97 (league 1.24), Amora = 0.52 (league 0.96)

Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 22.5% 11.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.8% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1