Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 •
Estádio Da Tapadinha
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.25)
0.15 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.3% | 35.3% | 5.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
31.7%
0 - 0
30.4%
2 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
| União Santarém | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético CP | 0 | 30.4% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 13% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
42%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Atlético CP: LLWWL • União Santarém: WLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético CP | União Santarém | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 60% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético CP | União Santarém |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 58.6% | 41.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético CP or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético CP = 1.04 (league 1.25), União Santarém = 0.15 (league 1.00)
| União Santarém | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético CP | 0 | 30.4% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 5.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1