Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.28) 0.50 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 36.4% 19.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.8%
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 23.8% 12.0% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 11.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack21%50%
Defense57%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém Mafra
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%75%0%43%
Draws33%25%29%25%67%43%
Loses33%50%43%0%33%14%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDW • Mafra: DLWDDWW

League goals

Metric União Santarém Mafra
HATHAT
GF total224729
GF avg0.70.50.61.80.71.3
GA total257257
GA avg0.71.31.00.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémMafra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%86%57%
1.514%14%29%14%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Wins11
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-1
Biggest losses0-13-04-1
Goals For1231
Goals Against1314

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémMafra
Form31%69%
Att30%70%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.8%63.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mafra and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.93 (league 1.28), Mafra = 0.50 (league 0.97)

Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 23.8% 12.0% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 11.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1