Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.25) 0.41 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 27.9% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 17.0% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 9.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasLusitano Évora 1911
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack55%36%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%50%0%29%
Draws67%0%29%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%50%67%57%

Form: Caldas: WWLDWDW • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWL

League goals

Metric Caldas Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total549718
GF avg1.71.01.31.80.31.1
GA total426538
GA avg1.30.50.91.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%43%100%
1.543%29%29%14%
2.50%0%29%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets033000
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricCaldasLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaldasLusitano Évora 1911
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-1
Biggest losses2-00-21-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricCaldasLusitano Évora 1911
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Caldas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 188Bet
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caldas = 1.36 (league 1.25), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.41 (league 0.95)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 17.0% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 9.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1