Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio EFAPEL
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.28) 0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 41.4% 23.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.8%
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 29.8% 15.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 10.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcademicaCaldas
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack85%62%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Academica Caldas
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%50%75%63%
Draws0%25%13%50%0%25%
Loses25%50%38%0%25%13%

Form: Academica: LWLWWLWD • Caldas: WWLDWDWW

League goals

Metric Academica Caldas
HATHAT
GF total76137411
GF avg1.81.51.61.81.01.4
GA total268527
GA avg0.51.51.01.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcademicaCaldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%88%63%
1.550%25%50%25%
2.525%13%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcademicaCaldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets213033
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAcademicaCaldas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAcademicaCaldas
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-1—2-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricAcademicaCaldas
Form48%52%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Academica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away3.91 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 1xBet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Academica = 0.70 (league 1.28), Caldas = 0.51 (league 0.98)

Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 29.8% 15.1% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 10.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 23.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1