Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.10 (league 1.25) 0.84 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.1% 42.3% 53.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.0%
0 - 1
33.0%
0 - 2
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 39.0% 33.0% 13.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1%
1 3.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC CovilhaCaldas
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack22%67%
Defense33%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Covilha Caldas
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%20%11%50%60%56%
Draws50%40%44%50%20%33%
Loses50%40%44%0%20%11%

Form: SC Covilha: LLDDDWLDL • Caldas: WWLDWDWWD

League goals

Metric SC Covilha Caldas
HATHAT
GF total1347411
GF avg0.30.60.41.80.81.2
GA total4610527
GA avg1.01.21.11.30.40.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC CovilhaCaldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%67%78%56%
1.50%33%44%22%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC CovilhaCaldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets123044
Failed to score325022

Penalties

MetricSC CovilhaCaldas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSC CovilhaCaldas
Wins12
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-0
Goals For1122
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSC CovilhaCaldas
Form31%69%
Att25%75%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Caldas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.10 (league 1.25), Caldas = 0.84 (league 0.95)

Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 39.0% 33.0% 13.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1%
1 3.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 42.3% · Away win 53.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1