Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.24) 0.21 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.2% 20.9% 4.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
2 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 15.1% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 5.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.4% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMafraLusitano Évora 1911
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack69%54%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mafra Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%20%50%67%0%40%
Draws20%40%30%0%25%10%
Loses0%40%20%33%75%50%

Form: Mafra: DLWDDWWWWL • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Mafra Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total851310212
GF avg1.61.01.31.70.51.2
GA total28105510
GA avg0.41.61.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMafraLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%60%80%
1.530%20%30%20%
2.510%10%20%0%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMafraLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricMafraLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMafraLusitano Évora 1911
Wins41
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-1
Biggest losses4-10-22-1
Goals For3241
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricMafraLusitano Évora 1911
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitano Évora 1911

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mafra = 1.68 (league 1.24), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.21 (league 0.96)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 15.1% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 5.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.4% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.2% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1