Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 • Estádio Da Tapadinha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.23) 0.78 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.4% 26.4% 19.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético CP 0 10.4% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético CPCF Os Belenenses
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack46%46%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético CP CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins40%20%30%67%50%60%
Draws20%20%20%0%25%10%
Loses40%60%50%33%25%30%

Form: Atlético CP: LLWWLLWDLD • CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Atlético CP CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
GF total7297512
GF avg1.40.40.91.21.31.2
GA total3585510
GA avg0.61.00.80.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético CPCF Os Belenenses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%60%80%50%
1.520%20%30%30%
2.510%0%10%10%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético CPCF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score235202

Penalties

MetricAtlético CPCF Os Belenenses
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAtlético CPCF Os Belenenses
Wins22
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-24-1
Goals For4132
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricAtlético CPCF Os Belenenses
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total44.3%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CF Os Belenenses

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atlético CP = 1.48 (league 1.23), CF Os Belenenses = 0.78 (league 1.00)

CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético CP 0 10.4% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.4% 12.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1