Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.23) 1.58 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 25.2% 50.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 7.8% 12.3% 9.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémAcademica
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%60%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém Academica
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins25%33%30%50%25%40%
Draws25%17%20%33%25%30%
Loses50%50%50%17%50%30%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWL • Academica: LWLWWLWDDD

League goals

Metric União Santarém Academica
HATHAT
GF total3478614
GF avg0.80.70.71.31.51.4
GA total4610369
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémAcademica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%70%60%
1.520%20%40%20%
2.50%10%20%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémAcademica
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémAcademica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémAcademica
Wins12
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-12-1
Goals For1243
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémAcademica
Form54%46%
Att45%55%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Academica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.98 (league 1.23), Academica = 1.58 (league 0.95)

Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 7.8% 12.3% 9.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 50.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1