Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 18:00 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.24) 1.08 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 26.2% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasAmora
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack46%54%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas Amora
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%50%50%20%40%30%
Draws50%17%30%40%20%30%
Loses0%33%20%40%40%40%

Form: Caldas: WWLDWDWWDL • Amora: WLDWLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Caldas Amora
HATHAT
GF total75127411
GF avg1.80.81.21.40.81.1
GA total5497512
GA avg1.30.70.91.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasAmora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%60%60%
1.540%30%30%40%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasAmora
HATHAT
Clean sheets044134
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricCaldasAmora
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaldasAmora
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses—2-00-23-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricCaldasAmora
Form62%38%
Att46%54%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Caldas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away4.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caldas = 1.46 (league 1.24), Amora = 1.08 (league 0.96)

Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1