Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.24) 0.73 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 41.1% 37.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.6%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 29.6% 21.7% 7.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 10.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC CovilhaUnião Santarém
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack21%43%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Covilha União Santarém
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%17%18%20%33%27%
Draws40%50%45%40%17%27%
Loses40%33%36%40%50%45%

Form: SC Covilha: LLDDDWLDLWD • União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLD

League goals

Metric SC Covilha União Santarém
HATHAT
GF total347448
GF avg0.60.70.60.80.70.7
GA total57125611
GA avg1.01.21.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC CovilhaUnião Santarém
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%55%73%
1.59%27%18%18%
2.50%9%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC CovilhaUnião Santarém
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score325145

Penalties

MetricSC CovilhaUnião Santarém
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSC CovilhaUnião Santarém
Wins11
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-0
Goals For2112
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSC CovilhaUnião Santarém
Form42%58%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SC Covilha or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.49 (league 1.24), União Santarém = 0.73 (league 0.96)

União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 29.6% 21.7% 7.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 10.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 41.1% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1