Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:00 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.25) 0.56 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 29.5% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 15.9% 8.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 7.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasAtlético CP
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%46%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas Atlético CP
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%33%20%27%
Draws40%17%27%17%20%18%
Loses20%33%27%50%60%55%

Form: Caldas: WWLDWDWWDLL • Atlético CP: LLWWLLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Caldas Atlético CP
HATHAT
GF total85138210
GF avg1.60.81.21.30.40.9
GA total74115510
GA avg1.40.71.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasAtlético CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%55%64%
1.536%36%18%27%
2.50%0%9%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasAtlético CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets044314
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricCaldasAtlético CP
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaldasAtlético CP
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-01-22-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCaldasAtlético CP
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total49.2%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Caldas = 1.28 (league 1.25), Atlético CP = 0.56 (league 1.00)

Atlético CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 15.9% 8.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 7.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1