Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 17:30 • Estádio do Restelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.23) 1.12 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 26.8% 30.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.4%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Os Belenenses 0 8.3% 9.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.7% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCF Os BelenensesAcademica
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack67%89%
Defense56%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CF Os Belenenses Academica
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins67%67%67%43%20%33%
Draws0%17%8%43%40%42%
Loses33%17%25%14%40%25%

Form: CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLWWW • Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDD

League goals

Metric CF Os Belenenses Academica
HATHAT
GF total781511718
GF avg1.21.31.31.61.41.5
GA total56116713
GA avg0.81.00.90.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCF Os BelenensesAcademica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%75%67%
1.533%25%42%25%
2.58%8%25%17%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCF Os BelenensesAcademica
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricCF Os BelenensesAcademica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCF Os BelenensesAcademica
Wins22
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-12-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricCF Os BelenensesAcademica
Form71%29%
Att43%57%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : CF Os Belenenses or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CF Os Belenenses = 1.37 (league 1.23), Academica = 1.12 (league 1.00)

Academica
0 1 2 3 4 5
CF Os Belenenses 0 8.3% 9.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.7% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1