Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.23) 1.30 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 29.1% 54.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 0
15.4%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 15.4% 20.1% 13.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 11.4% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack44%67%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Covilha CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%14%15%57%67%62%
Draws50%43%46%14%17%15%
Loses33%43%38%29%17%23%

Form: SC Covilha: LLDDDWLDLWDDL • CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric SC Covilha CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
GF total4488816
GF avg0.70.60.61.11.31.2
GA total69156612
GA avg1.01.31.20.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%85%54%
1.58%31%31%23%
2.50%8%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score336202

Penalties

MetricSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
Wins13
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-1
Goals For2132
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CF Os Belenenses

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ Betfair
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Covilha = 0.57 (league 1.23), CF Os Belenenses = 1.30 (league 1.00)

CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Covilha 0 15.4% 20.1% 13.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 11.4% 7.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 54.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1