Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Estádio EFAPEL
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.23) 0.45 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.5% 24.6% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 13.4% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 7.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcademicaLusitano Évora 1911
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack67%44%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Academica Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins43%17%31%57%0%31%
Draws43%50%46%0%33%15%
Loses14%33%23%43%67%54%

Form: Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDD • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWWDLL

League goals

Metric Academica Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total1181910313
GF avg1.61.31.51.40.51.0
GA total68146713
GA avg0.91.31.10.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcademicaLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%54%85%
1.538%23%23%15%
2.523%15%15%0%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcademicaLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricAcademicaLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricAcademicaLusitano Évora 1911
Wins22
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-1
Biggest losses0-12-10-22-1
Goals For4341
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricAcademicaLusitano Évora 1911
Form42%58%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Academica or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Academica = 1.56 (league 1.23), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.45 (league 1.00)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 13.4% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 9.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 7.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1