Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 17:45 • Campo da Mata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.25) 0.91 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 31.3% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 14.3% 12.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasUnião Santarém
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack17%33%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas União Santarém
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%43%38%17%29%23%
Draws33%14%23%50%29%38%
Loses33%43%38%33%43%38%

Form: Caldas: WWLDWDWWDLLLL • União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDD

League goals

Metric Caldas União Santarém
HATHAT
GF total8513459
GF avg1.30.71.00.70.70.7
GA total86145712
GA avg1.30.91.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasUnião Santarém
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%54%69%
1.531%38%15%15%
2.50%0%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasUnião Santarém
HATHAT
Clean sheets044224
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricCaldasUnião Santarém
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCaldasUnião Santarém
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-21-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-01-23-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCaldasUnião Santarém
Form14%86%
Att33%67%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or União Santarém and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caldas = 1.04 (league 1.25), União Santarém = 0.91 (league 1.00)

União Santarém
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 14.3% 12.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1