Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.23) 0.28 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 31.8% 8.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.4%
0 - 0
23.4%
2 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 23.4% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMafraCaldas
Played55
Form53%0%
Attack45%10%
Defense65%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mafra Caldas
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%29%50%29%43%36%
Draws29%43%36%29%14%21%
Loses0%29%14%43%43%43%

Form: Mafra: DLWDDWWWWLDDWW • Caldas: WWLDWDWWDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Mafra Caldas
HATHAT
GF total1110218513
GF avg1.61.41.51.10.70.9
GA total3121510616
GA avg0.41.71.11.40.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMafraCaldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%64%64%71%
1.543%21%29%43%
2.514%14%0%0%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMafraCaldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets415044
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricMafraCaldas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMafraCaldas
Wins42
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-10-2
Biggest losses—4-10-22-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricMafraCaldas
Form100%0%
Att82%18%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mafra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away4.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mafra = 1.17 (league 1.23), Caldas = 0.28 (league 1.00)

Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mafra 0 23.4% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 7.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 4.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1