Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Da Tapadinha
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.23)
0.91 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | 27.5% | 24.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Academica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético CP | 0 | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 25% | 45% |
| Defense | 85% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 17% | 36% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 38% | 50% | 43% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
Form: Atlético CP: LLWWLLWDLDLWWW • Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético CP | Academica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 50% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 21% | 43% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético CP | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético CP or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético CP = 1.37 (league 1.23), Academica = 0.91 (league 1.00)
| Academica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético CP | 0 | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 24.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1