Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Estrela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.25) 0.54 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 26.5% 13.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
2 - 0
14.4%
0 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
SC Covilha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 13.6% 7.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.8% 10.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 7.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack20%27%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 SC Covilha
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%0%29%14%14%14%
Draws0%29%14%43%43%43%
Loses43%71%57%43%43%43%

Form: Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWWDLLL • SC Covilha: LLDDDWLDLWDDLL

League goals

Metric Lusitano Évora 1911 SC Covilha
HATHAT
GF total10414448
GF avg1.40.61.00.60.60.6
GA total6101610919
GA avg0.91.41.11.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%50%79%
1.521%21%7%36%
2.514%7%0%14%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricLusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Wins21
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-10-1
Biggest losses0-23-10-43-0
Goals For4121
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricLusitano Évora 1911SC Covilha
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Unibet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away5.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitano Évora 1911 = 1.46 (league 1.25), SC Covilha = 0.54 (league 1.00)

SC Covilha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitano Évora 1911 0 13.6% 7.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.8% 10.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.4% 7.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 13.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1