Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.25) 0.71 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 32.4% 24.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
1º Dezembro
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 16.9% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião Santarém1º Dezembro
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack18%23%
Defense86%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém 1º Dezembro
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins17%38%29%29%14%21%
Draws50%25%36%43%43%43%
Loses33%38%36%29%43%36%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDW • 1º Dezembro: WWDDDLLLLDDDWL

League goals

Metric União Santarém 1º Dezembro
HATHAT
GF total47115611
GF avg0.70.90.80.70.90.8
GA total571241317
GA avg0.80.90.90.61.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião Santarém1º Dezembro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%64%57%71%
1.521%14%21%29%
2.50%7%0%14%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião Santarém1º Dezembro
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score246426

Penalties

MetricUnião Santarém1º Dezembro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricUnião Santarém1º Dezembro
Wins12
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-14-0
Goals For1222
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricUnião Santarém1º Dezembro
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : União Santarém or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 1.07 (league 1.25), 1º Dezembro = 0.71 (league 1.01)

1º Dezembro
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 16.9% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 24.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1