Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 17:30 • Campo da Mata
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.25) 2.37 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 16.8% 69.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.9%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 4.2% 10.0% 11.9% 9.4% 5.6% 2.6%
1 3.4% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaldasCF Os Belenenses
Played55
Form0%87%
Attack23%85%
Defense15%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caldas CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%38%33%63%71%67%
Draws29%13%20%13%14%13%
Loses43%50%47%25%14%20%

Form: Caldas: WWLDWDWWDLLLLLL • CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Caldas CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
GF total8715111223
GF avg1.10.91.01.41.71.5
GA total1010207613
GA avg1.41.31.30.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaldasCF Os Belenenses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%87%53%
1.533%47%40%20%
2.50%7%20%7%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaldasCF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Clean sheets044347
Failed to score235202

Penalties

MetricCaldasCF Os Belenenses
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCaldasCF Os Belenenses
Wins23
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-20-24-1
Goals For2234
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricCaldasCF Os Belenenses
Form0%100%
Att21%79%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total30.6%69.4%

Advice: Winner : CF Os Belenenses

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caldas = 0.79 (league 1.25), CF Os Belenenses = 2.37 (league 1.00)

CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caldas 0 4.2% 10.0% 11.9% 9.4% 5.6% 2.6%
1 3.4% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
3 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 69.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1