Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:00 • Medideira Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.25) 0.84 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 26.7% 21.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amora 0 10.1% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.0% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmoraLusitano Évora 1911
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack38%31%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amora Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%38%27%63%0%33%
Draws43%25%33%0%29%13%
Loses43%38%40%38%71%53%

Form: Amora: WLDWLLLDWDWDDLL • Lusitano Évora 1911: LWLLDWLLWWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Amora Lusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
GF total971612416
GF avg1.30.91.11.50.61.1
GA total1091971017
GA avg1.41.11.30.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmoraLusitano Évora 1911
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%60%87%
1.527%40%27%20%
2.513%20%13%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmoraLusitano Évora 1911
HATHAT
Clean sheets145202
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricAmoraLusitano Évora 1911
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAmoraLusitano Évora 1911
Wins12
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-1
Biggest losses0-23-10-23-1
Goals For3241
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAmoraLusitano Évora 1911
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitano Évora 1911

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Amora = 1.46 (league 1.25), Lusitano Évora 1911 = 0.84 (league 1.00)

Lusitano Évora 1911
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amora 0 10.1% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.0% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1