Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 20:00 •
Campo Cha das Padeiras
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.25)
0.42 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0% | 52.1% | 24.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.5%
0 - 1
18.6%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União Santarém | 0 | 44.5% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 85% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
| Draws | 43% | 25% | 33% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 29% | 38% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 47% |
Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWW • Atlético CP: LLWWLLWDLDLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | União Santarém | Atlético CP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 13% | 13% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | União Santarém | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : União Santarém or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.39 (league 1.25), Atlético CP = 0.42 (league 1.00)
| Atlético CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União Santarém | 0 | 44.5% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 52.1% · Away win 24.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1