Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 • Estádio EFAPEL
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.24) 0.80 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 25.0% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcademicaAmora
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%33%
Defense42%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Academica Amora
HATHAT
Played87158816
Wins50%29%40%13%38%25%
Draws38%43%40%50%25%38%
Loses13%29%20%38%38%38%

Form: Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDWW • Amora: WLDWLLLDWDWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Academica Amora
HATHAT
GF total14122610717
GF avg1.81.71.71.30.91.1
GA total791611920
GA avg0.91.31.11.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcademicaAmora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%69%69%
1.547%20%25%38%
2.533%13%13%19%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcademicaAmora
HATHAT
Clean sheets314145
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricAcademicaAmora
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricAcademicaAmora
Wins21
Draws62
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-23-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAcademicaAmora
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h85%15%
Goals61%39%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Winner : Academica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away5.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Academica = 1.60 (league 1.24), Amora = 0.80 (league 1.02)

Amora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 18.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1