Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.23)
0.81 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.6% | 40.3% | 43.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.0%
0 - 1
24.4%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético CP | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Covilha | 0 | 30.0% | 24.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 30% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 13% | 13% | 13% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 38% | 44% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
SC CovilhaLLDDDWLDLWDDLLLD
Atlético CPLLWWLLWDLDLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Covilha | Atlético CP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 81% | 69% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Covilha | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 33.2% | 67.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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