Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Cha das Padeiras
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.23) 1.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 27.1% 57.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 13.4% 19.1% 13.6% 6.5% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.2% 7.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião SantarémCF Os Belenenses
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack80%100%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União Santarém CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%33%29%67%75%71%
Draws50%33%41%11%13%12%
Loses25%33%29%22%13%18%

Form: União Santarém: WLDLLDWLWLDDDWWDD • CF Os Belenenses: DWWLWLWWLWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric União Santarém CF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
GF total6713121426
GF avg0.80.80.81.31.81.5
GA total67137714
GA avg0.80.80.80.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião SantarémCF Os Belenenses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%88%53%
1.518%12%41%18%
2.50%6%18%6%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião SantarémCF Os Belenenses
HATHAT
Clean sheets347448
Failed to score257202

Penalties

MetricUnião SantarémCF Os Belenenses
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricUnião SantarémCF Os Belenenses
Wins23
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-00-24-1
Goals For1234
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricUnião SantarémCF Os Belenenses
Form41%59%
Att27%73%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h33%67%
Goals43%57%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CF Os Belenenses and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Betfair
Draw3.19 @ Pinnacle
Away2.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União Santarém = 0.58 (league 1.23), CF Os Belenenses = 1.42 (league 1.01)

CF Os Belenenses
0 1 2 3 4 5
União Santarém 0 13.4% 19.1% 13.6% 6.5% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.2% 7.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 57.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1