Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
War Memorial Sports Ground
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.68)
2.15 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.4% | 20.7% | 48.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carshalton Athletic | 0 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 47% | 42% |
| Defense | 37% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 56% | 80% | 67% | 75% |
Form: Carshalton Athletic: WLWLLLDLW • Welling United: LLLWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 78% | 63% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 78% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 33% | 13% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 2-4 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carshalton Athletic | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Welling United and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carshalton Athletic = 1.61 (league 1.68), Welling United = 2.15 (league 1.42)
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carshalton Athletic | 0 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 48.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1