Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
The Steves Taxis Stadium
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.68)
3.80 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 9.2% | 65.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Wingate & Finchley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canvey Island | 0 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 33% |
| Attack | 21% | 26% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 80% | 88% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
Form: Canvey Island: LLLLLDLL • Wingate & Finchley: LLLLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 88% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Canvey Island | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
Advice: Winner : Wingate & Finchley
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Canvey Island = 1.13 (league 1.68), Wingate & Finchley = 3.80 (league 1.42)
| Wingate & Finchley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canvey Island | 0 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.5% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 65.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1