Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:45 • Parkside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.64) 1.03 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 24.9% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chichester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aveley 0 7.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAveleyChichester City
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack82%29%
Defense82%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aveley Chichester City
HATHAT
Played141529151328
Wins50%67%59%27%46%36%
Draws36%27%31%40%15%29%
Loses14%7%10%33%38%36%

Form: Aveley: DWDLWDLDWWDWWWDWDDWDWWWLWWWWW • Chichester City: DDWLWLWWDDDWLLLDLWDWWWLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Aveley Chichester City
HATHAT
GF total313667211435
GF avg2.22.42.31.41.11.3
GA total191837251641
GA avg1.41.21.31.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAveleyChichester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%69%68%75%
1.566%34%46%46%
2.545%17%11%18%
3.514%3%0%4%
4.510%3%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAveleyChichester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets459347
Failed to score112369

Penalties

MetricAveleyChichester City
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricAveleyChichester City
Wins33
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-63-00-3
Biggest losses2-52-02-53-0
Goals For5633
Goals Against5353

Model comparison

MetricAveleyChichester City
Form79%21%
Att74%26%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Winner : Aveley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Bet365
Draw4.56 @ Pinnacle
Away6.24 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aveley = 1.61 (league 1.64), Chichester City = 1.03 (league 1.49)

Chichester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aveley 0 7.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1