Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Home Call Carpets Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.66) 0.93 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 18.3% 13.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Canvey Island
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgess Hill TownCanvey Island
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack55%25%
Defense50%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgess Hill Town Canvey Island
HATHAT
Played48124711
Wins25%38%33%25%0%9%
Draws25%38%33%0%29%18%
Loses50%25%33%75%71%73%

Form: Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWD • Canvey Island: LLLLLDLLLWD

League goals

Metric Burgess Hill Town Canvey Island
HATHAT
GF total81321549
GF avg2.01.61.81.30.60.8
GA total91423101323
GA avg2.31.81.92.51.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgess Hill TownCanvey Island
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%83%55%100%
1.567%58%18%73%
2.517%42%9%18%
3.50%8%0%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgess Hill TownCanvey Island
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricBurgess Hill TownCanvey Island
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBurgess Hill TownCanvey Island
Wins21
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-2—
Biggest losses2-43-01-44-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricBurgess Hill TownCanvey Island
Form67%33%
Att69%31%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Winner : Burgess Hill Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ Superbet
Away3.90 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgess Hill Town = 2.29 (league 1.66), Canvey Island = 0.93 (league 1.48)

Canvey Island
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 4.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 8.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 4.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1