Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Acclaim Handling Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.67) 2.35 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 17.4% 67.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burgess Hill Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Welling United 0 4.0% 9.4% 11.1% 8.7% 5.1% 2.4%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWelling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack31%56%
Defense31%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Welling United Burgess Hill Town
HATHAT
Played68145813
Wins17%25%21%20%38%31%
Draws0%0%0%20%38%31%
Loses83%75%79%60%25%38%

Form: Welling United: LLLWLLWLLLWLLL • Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDL

League goals

Metric Welling United Burgess Hill Town
HATHAT
GF total5111681321
GF avg0.81.41.11.61.61.6
GA total131831111425
GA avg2.22.32.22.21.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWelling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%85%85%
1.529%64%62%62%
2.57%43%15%38%
3.57%14%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWelling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score404112

Penalties

MetricWelling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricWelling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
Wins12
Draws01
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-44-22-43-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricWelling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
Form27%73%
Att36%64%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Winner : Burgess Hill Town

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Superbet
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away2.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Superbet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Welling United = 0.86 (league 1.67), Burgess Hill Town = 2.35 (league 1.50)

Burgess Hill Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Welling United 0 4.0% 9.4% 11.1% 8.7% 5.1% 2.4%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 67.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1