Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 19:45 • Parkside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.10 (league 1.63) 1.41 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 14.5% 14.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Welling United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aveley 0 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.3% 7.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAveleyWelling United
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack64%50%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aveley Welling United
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins36%62%50%25%33%29%
Draws45%31%38%0%0%0%
Loses18%8%13%75%67%71%

Form: Aveley: DWDLWDLDWWDWWWDWDDWDWWWL • Welling United: LLLWLLWLLLWLLLLLLLWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Aveley Welling United
HATHAT
GF total242953111728
GF avg2.22.22.20.91.41.2
GA total171734232750
GA avg1.51.31.41.92.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAveleyWelling United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%71%71%96%
1.563%42%29%54%
2.546%21%13%33%
3.513%4%4%17%
4.58%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAveleyWelling United
HATHAT
Clean sheets347101
Failed to score112617

Penalties

MetricAveleyWelling United
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricAveleyWelling United
Wins32
Draws20
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-54-11-3
Biggest losses2-52-01-46-1
Goals For5543
Goals Against5346

Model comparison

MetricAveleyWelling United
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aveley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away4.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Superbet
No2.24 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aveley = 3.10 (league 1.63), Welling United = 1.41 (league 1.49)

Welling United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aveley 0 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.3% 7.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 14.0%

vtt 7 , vtd1