Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Home Call Carpets Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.67) 1.14 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 24.2% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Potters Bar Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 6.0% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgess Hill TownPotters Bar Town
Played55
Form73%0%
Attack65%29%
Defense53%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgess Hill Town Potters Bar Town
HATHAT
Played711189716
Wins29%45%39%11%14%13%
Draws29%36%33%11%14%13%
Loses43%18%28%78%71%75%

Form: Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDLWWDDW • Potters Bar Town: LDLLDWLLLWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Burgess Hill Town Potters Bar Town
HATHAT
GF total10223215722
GF avg1.42.01.81.71.01.4
GA total122133241438
GA avg1.71.91.82.72.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgess Hill TownPotters Bar Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%83%75%88%
1.561%56%44%75%
2.522%39%19%56%
3.56%6%0%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgess Hill TownPotters Bar Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricBurgess Hill TownPotters Bar Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBurgess Hill TownPotters Bar Town
Wins21
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-41-01-3
Biggest losses2-43-00-34-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricBurgess Hill TownPotters Bar Town
Form100%0%
Att69%31%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total67.3%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Burgess Hill Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Marathonbet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burgess Hill Town = 1.68 (league 1.67), Potters Bar Town = 1.14 (league 1.50)

Potters Bar Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgess Hill Town 0 6.0% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 25.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1