Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 19:45 • Parkside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.66) 0.54 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.3% 14.6% 6.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Canvey Island
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aveley 0 5.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAveleyCanvey Island
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack68%18%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aveley Canvey Island
HATHAT
Played101020101222
Wins30%60%45%30%8%18%
Draws50%40%45%30%17%23%
Loses20%0%10%40%75%59%

Form: Aveley: DWDLWDLDWWDWWWDWDDWD • Canvey Island: LLLLLDLLLWDWDDLLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Aveley Canvey Island
HATHAT
GF total21254613619
GF avg2.12.52.31.30.50.9
GA total161531182341
GA avg1.61.51.61.81.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAveleyCanvey Island
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%75%59%91%
1.565%45%23%64%
2.545%25%5%18%
3.515%5%0%14%
4.510%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAveleyCanvey Island
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score101189

Penalties

MetricAveleyCanvey Island
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total61

Streaks

MetricAveleyCanvey Island
Wins31
Draws22
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-53-20-2
Biggest losses2-5—1-44-0
Goals For5532
Goals Against5344

Model comparison

MetricAveleyCanvey Island
Form56%44%
Att79%21%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Winner : Aveley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Superbet
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aveley = 2.41 (league 1.66), Canvey Island = 0.54 (league 1.49)

Canvey Island
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aveley 0 5.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.3% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 6.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1