Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:00 • The Steves Taxis Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.65) 1.33 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 22.4% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lewes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canvey Island 0 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.6% 10.1% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCanvey IslandLewes
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack27%67%
Defense33%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Canvey Island Lewes
HATHAT
Played101323121123
Wins30%8%17%50%27%39%
Draws30%15%22%17%18%17%
Loses40%77%61%33%55%43%

Form: Canvey Island: LLLLLDLLLWDWDDLLLDWLLWL • Lewes: LWWWWDLDLLLLWDWLLLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Canvey Island Lewes
HATHAT
GF total13720191231
GF avg1.30.50.91.61.11.3
GA total182644162642
GA avg1.82.01.91.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCanvey IslandLewes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%91%65%83%
1.522%65%43%57%
2.54%22%17%30%
3.50%13%9%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCanvey IslandLewes
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score189358

Penalties

MetricCanvey IslandLewes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCanvey IslandLewes
Wins14
Draws21
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-01-4
Biggest losses1-44-00-26-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricCanvey IslandLewes
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total40.0%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lewes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Canvey Island = 1.89 (league 1.65), Lewes = 1.33 (league 1.49)

Lewes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canvey Island 0 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.6% 10.1% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1