Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • The Maurice Rebak Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.64) 0.51 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 26.4% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
14.9%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Canvey Island
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wingate & Finchley 0 14.0% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 10.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 7.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWingate & FinchleyCanvey Island
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack40%47%
Defense20%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wingate & Finchley Canvey Island
HATHAT
Played121729141529
Wins25%29%28%29%7%17%
Draws17%24%21%29%20%24%
Loses58%47%52%43%73%59%

Form: Wingate & Finchley: LLLLDLWDWWWDWWWLLDDLLLLDLLLWL • Canvey Island: LLLLLDLLLWDWDDLLLDWLLWLLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Wingate & Finchley Canvey Island
HATHAT
GF total14274119827
GF avg1.21.61.41.40.50.9
GA total183149253055
GA avg1.51.81.71.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWingate & FinchleyCanvey Island
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%86%62%93%
1.548%52%24%62%
2.517%24%7%24%
3.53%7%0%10%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWingate & FinchleyCanvey Island
HATHAT
Clean sheets134112
Failed to score5492911

Penalties

MetricWingate & FinchleyCanvey Island
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWingate & FinchleyCanvey Island
Wins31
Draws22
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-53-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-44-0
Goals For3532
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricWingate & FinchleyCanvey Island
Form38%63%
Att46%54%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total59.7%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Wingate & Finchley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away3.56 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wingate & Finchley = 1.46 (league 1.64), Canvey Island = 0.51 (league 1.48)

Canvey Island
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wingate & Finchley 0 14.0% 7.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 10.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 7.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 12.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1