Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • The Dripping Pan
Match Finished
1 - 6
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.63) 2.11 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 20.2% 60.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aveley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lewes 0 4.3% 9.1% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
1 4.4% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.3% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLewesAveley
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack12%47%
Defense35%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lewes Aveley
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins50%29%39%50%64%57%
Draws14%14%14%36%29%32%
Loses36%57%46%14%7%11%

Form: Lewes: LWWWWDLDLLLLWDWLLLDWWWLWLWLL • Aveley: DWDLWDLDWWDWWWDWDDWDWWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Lewes Aveley
HATHAT
GF total201333313061
GF avg1.40.91.22.22.12.2
GA total213253191736
GA avg1.52.31.91.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLewesAveley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%79%93%68%
1.536%57%64%36%
2.514%36%43%18%
3.57%7%11%4%
4.50%7%7%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLewesAveley
HATHAT
Clean sheets426459
Failed to score4711112

Penalties

MetricLewesAveley
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricLewesAveley
Wins43
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-45-02-5
Biggest losses0-56-02-52-0
Goals For4455
Goals Against5653

Model comparison

MetricLewesAveley
Form33%67%
Att20%80%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%62%
Total31.3%68.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aveley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lewes = 1.03 (league 1.63), Aveley = 2.11 (league 1.49)

Aveley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lewes 0 4.3% 9.1% 9.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
1 4.4% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.3% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 60.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1