Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • The Steves Taxis Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.64) 2.43 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 19.3% 48.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.8%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burgess Hill Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canvey Island 0 1.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
1 2.6% 6.4% 7.8% 6.3% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.7% 7.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.4% 4.2% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCanvey IslandBurgess Hill Town
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack50%100%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Canvey Island Burgess Hill Town
HATHAT
Played141630161531
Wins29%6%17%44%40%42%
Draws29%19%23%13%33%23%
Loses43%75%60%44%27%35%

Form: Canvey Island: LLLLLDLLLWDWDDLLLDWLLWLLLDWDLL • Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDLWWDDWWLWLLWLDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Canvey Island Burgess Hill Town
HATHAT
GF total19827273057
GF avg1.40.50.91.72.01.8
GA total253257303161
GA avg1.82.01.91.92.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCanvey IslandBurgess Hill Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%93%87%90%
1.523%63%58%58%
2.57%23%23%35%
3.50%10%10%10%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCanvey IslandBurgess Hill Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score21012224

Penalties

MetricCanvey IslandBurgess Hill Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricCanvey IslandBurgess Hill Town
Wins12
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-02-6
Biggest losses1-44-02-54-0
Goals For3246
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricCanvey IslandBurgess Hill Town
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : Canvey Island or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betano
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Canvey Island = 1.79 (league 1.64), Burgess Hill Town = 2.43 (league 1.48)

Burgess Hill Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Canvey Island 0 1.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
1 2.6% 6.4% 7.8% 6.3% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.7% 7.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.4% 3.4% 4.2% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 48.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1