Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Home Call Carpets Community Stadium
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.64)
1.66 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.4% | 19.4% | 26.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
6.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 27% |
| Defense | 27% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 44% | 44% | 44% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
| Draws | 13% | 31% | 22% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
| Loses | 44% | 25% | 34% | 69% | 73% | 71% |
Form: Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDLWWDDWWLWLLWLDWWLLWW • Welling United: LLLWLLWLLLWLLLLLLLWWLLWWLLLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 31 | 58 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 30 | 31 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 61 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 65% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 56% | 26% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 34% | 10% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 3% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-6 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Welling United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 64.4% | 35.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Burgess Hill Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burgess Hill Town = 2.38 (league 1.64), Welling United = 1.66 (league 1.48)
| Welling United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 26.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1