Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Home Call Carpets Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.65)
2.80 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9% | 17.3% | 53.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 3
6.8%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Brentwood Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 0% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 44% | 47% | 46% | 58% | 56% | 57% |
| Draws | 11% | 26% | 19% | 21% | 6% | 14% |
| Loses | 44% | 26% | 35% | 21% | 39% | 30% |
Form: Burgess Hill Town: WWDLLDLLDWWDLWWDDWWLWLLWLDWWLLWWWWWLL • Brentwood Town: DWWWWWWWWDLWWLLLWWDLDWWWLLLLWWLWWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 37 | 66 | 33 | 40 | 73 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 34 | 38 | 72 | 27 | 32 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 89% | 81% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 57% | 62% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 35% | 35% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 14% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-6 | 4-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burgess Hill Town | Brentwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Brentwood Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burgess Hill Town = 1.74 (league 1.65), Brentwood Town = 2.80 (league 1.49)
| Brentwood Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 53.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1