Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 12:00 • Köpetdag Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.27) 0.46 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 29.7% 13.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.6%
0 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
14.4%
Merw
0 1 2 3 4 5
Köpetdag Aşgabat 0 17.8% 8.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 10.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKöpetdag AşgabatMerw
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack43%14%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Köpetdag Aşgabat Merw
HATHAT
Played1091911920
Wins10%11%11%9%11%10%
Draws20%11%16%27%22%25%
Loses70%78%74%64%67%65%

Form: Köpetdag Aşgabat: LLLLDLLLWLLDLLLWLLD • Merw: LWDLLLLDLWLDLLLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Köpetdag Aşgabat Merw
HATHAT
GF total9413639
GF avg0.90.40.70.50.30.5
GA total212748141630
GA avg2.13.02.51.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKöpetdag AşgabatMerw
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%84%30%70%
1.516%63%10%40%
2.55%63%5%20%
3.50%21%0%5%
4.50%16%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKöpetdag AşgabatMerw
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score55106814

Penalties

MetricKöpetdag AşgabatMerw
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKöpetdag AşgabatMerw
Wins11
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-36-11-37-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against3637

Model comparison

MetricKöpetdag AşgabatMerw
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Köpetdag Aşgabat or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Köpetdag Aşgabat = 1.27 (league 1.27), Merw = 0.46 (league 1.38)

Merw
0 1 2 3 4 5
Köpetdag Aşgabat 0 17.8% 8.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 10.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1