Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 10:30 •
Türkmenbasy Stadium
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.28)
1.95 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 21.5% | 41.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ahal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şagadam | 0 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 29% | 71% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 58% | 31% | 44% | 50% | 55% | 52% |
| Draws | 17% | 46% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 23% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 26% |
Form: Şagadam: WWDLLDWDWWWLDWWLDLDWWDWDL • Ahal: WWLWWWWLWWLDWLWDDLDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Şagadam | Ahal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 56% | 78% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 28% | 52% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 12% | 35% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 17% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Şagadam | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 24% | 76% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ahal
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Şagadam = 1.75 (league 1.28), Ahal = 1.95 (league 1.35)
| Ahal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şagadam | 0 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 41.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1