Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 •
Westkampfbahn
Expected Goals
5.83 (league 2.06)
0.56 (league 1.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
8.0%
3 - 0
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Hennef 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Düren Merzenich | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 11% |
| Attack | 37% | 11% |
| Defense | 53% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
95%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Düren Merzenich: LWL • Hennef 05: DLL
League goals
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 67% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Düren Merzenich | Hennef 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 78.0% | 22.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Düren Merzenich and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Düren Merzenich = 5.83 (league 2.06), Hennef 05 = 0.56 (league 1.78)
| Hennef 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Düren Merzenich | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 1.4% · Away win 0.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1